Obama will win narrowly.
(a) Romney is useless. The rest were usually worse (apart from Gary Johnson) but Romney essentially proves the truth that in Land of the Blind the bloke with the Labrador is King.
(b) Obama has the media.
(c) Romney is gaffe-prone and is seen as a plutocrat who can’t be doing with the little-folk. Like Obama cares. See (b). But he is seen to care.
(d) The biggest thing Obama did domestically was create a health scheme that is a mirror-image of Romney’s. Romney can’t take him on that one.
(e) Romney looks like a standard Republican big-wig. Obama is oddly folksie. His “mongrel” comment went down a storm.
(f) Romney didn’t even win the Republican ticket last time and America don’t like losers.
(g) One of Obama’s key assets is Michelle. Who is Mrs Romney? Shouldn’t matter but it does.
(h) Romney is a Mormon so can’t play the religion card.
So Obama by a short-nose. He won’t win this. Romney will lose it.