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Election 13

For those of you who are sad enough to give a toss about the Australian elections next weekend -

Sportingbet is offering odds of 1:1.01 for the LNP, and 1:16.00 for the incumbent ALP.

In fact, one lot, Sportsbet, have already paid out, nine days before the election.

That’s it! Sorry Sky News, apologies to the ABC, don’t bother news.com.au. We’re calling it first.

Sportsbet has declared the federal election a one-horse race and we’re paying out all bets on the Coalition nine days before Australia goes to the polls.

We’re so confident of a landslide Coalition victory for Tony Abbott and his team, we’ve paid out more than $1.5 million in bets to our members – a first in Australian federal election history.

10 Comments

  1. Mr Ed says:

    The LNP website is rather depressing, in the main, they seem to have swallowed the Left’s agenda, here’s one policy that caught my eye.

    http://www.liberal.org.au/latest-news/2013/08/30/coalitions-policy-improve-mental-health

    Although they want to scrap the Carbon tax, they also want to reduce ‘greenhouse emissions’, and the site is full of spanding boasts, and plans to make state provision ‘better’.

    http://campaign.lnp.org.au/

    So in UK terms, it’s a bit like having Cameron in place of a Miliband. Schadenfreude is a start, I suppose, but it is not eough to defeat Labor, the Coalition must break free from their political mindset.

  2. clh says:

    You are not going to get any argument from me.

  3. PeterT says:

    Out of interest, why do some betting agencies pay out before the event is decided? Anybody know?

  4. Mr Ed says:

    Peter T. I would surmise:

    1. If the book is closed, reckon the outcomes and move on.
    2. Get a bit of publicity and goodwill – we will pay out on your bets, often a nagging doubt with gaming and betting.

    Of course, if they are wrong, they would not be in a position to reclaim any pay-outs, but the former losers would also be winners, so happy punters.

  5. John Galt says:

    It is also a means of a company sending a message to the government, obviously with a price attached, but often a self-fulfilling prophesy.

    Nobody wants to back a loser, even voters.

  6. Mr Ed says:

    I have seen a lot of lefty postings attacking Mr Abbott, including one apparently showing him in a trembling silence, editted so that you cannot see what led to that. They are smearing Abbott for all they are worth.

  7. John Galt says:

    This would seem to be a bit of a Pyrrhic victory for Kevin Rudd, having finally ousted the ginger cuckoo from the nest at the third time of asking, to lose the election and get cast out into the wilderness (yet again), except this time with a fair number of his ALP colleagues.

    I’m just hoping that the electors of Griffith (the PM’s constituency) show Kevin Rudd exactly what they think of the last few years of ALP infighting by ousting him from his own fief as well.

    This is not as far fetched as it sounds as the latest Guardian Lonergan poll puts Liberal candidate Bill Glasson ahead of Rudd on a two-party preferred basis by 52 per cent to 48 per cent.

    This wouldn’t be the first time an outgoing PM lost not only the general election, but also his own seat, as the same occurred with John Howard, who was turfed out of his own seat of Bennelong when he lost the prime ministership in 2007.

    It’s a bit too close to call, but I hope this is a trend that the electors of Griffith can get behind. It would be a final indignity and I feel that Rudd needs it, for the salvation of his soul. :-)

  8. CountingCats says:

    JG,

    I have sympathy with your comment, BUT, think about it.

    Come Sunday KR will not only no longer be PM, but he will no longer be the leader of the ALP. Imagine if he remains in Parliament. I would get a kick out of spending the next three years watching him sitting on the back benches and undermining whoever it is the ALP appoint in his place a little later this month.

    Think of the ructions when he is finally expelled from the party.

  9. John Galt says:

    I’m not so sure Cats, he’s been doing the hokey-cokey with his parliamentary colleagues since his initial ousting by Gillard, so the loss of the election and a final ousting from the role as PM and at some later date as leader of the ALP are inevitable.

    Publicly the parliamentary ALP are still backing him, but once the election is lost I would expect Rudd to tender his resignation as leader and continue as caretaker until a replacement is found. Re-electing Rudd was always a damage limitation strategy as there was no way they could win, but no better candidate.

    So I think the GE loss and resignation are already factored and planned into the parliamentary ALP mindset, so being dumped from Griffith would be a further and unplanned indignity, by those who have had no say in the shenanigans that have gone on over the last few years, the electorate.

    They deserve the right to kick him in the pants for his childish and petulant behaviour.

  10. Mr Ed says:

    So have all the Lefties emigrated from this new Australia yet? Or is everyone managing?

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